Richard calculates the annual performance of his portfolio going back 13 years. One good or bad year tells us nothing about the skill of an investor, he says. If you had a bad one, do not beat yourself up about it. Happy New Year! I am kicking this year off on a bum note, talking […]
Category: Strategy
Trading Psychology Pitfalls of a Systematic Approach
Below is a list of common trading psychology problems that I’ve compiled from my own trading journey. I see them as the main problems that would affect the results of my own systematic approach or delay the learning process by chasing red herrings. I have had to overcome all of them over the years though […]
How has 2022 been for UK stocks and any reason to be optimistic in 2023?
Let’s look at the data. Yes, I am data-obsessed. Too many people speak twaddle without looking at the facts or data. By the way, here’s a good trick on social media when you find annoying twaddle, just put this into the comments “Data?”. Out of the 350 largest quoted companies on the London Stock Exchange […]
UK Stock Market & UK India Free Trade Agreement
I write to you from India. In fact from Asia’s largest tech summit. I’ve seen companies in AI, quantum computing, cancer detection, and rocketry (India launches UK satellites btw), and today India had its first private rocket launch. Then there were companies in Advanced Manufacturing, advanced materials and of course cyber security (they do have […]
What Do Experts Say About Portfolio Allocation During High Inflation
We’re not alone – if it makes you feel better. Look at the Americans. Of course, you could argue that the market will help when rates are rising according to history: It’s no secret that inflation can have a significant impact on your portfolio. During times of high inflation, it can be difficult to maintain […]
Is It Time to Buy Sterling?
I write to you from New York where I’ve been doing Bloomberg and met with a former employee of my Asset Management company now earning the big bucks in M&A in the big apple! The British pound continues to face significant challenges, with the currency seeing significant volatility in recent years. This is likely to […]
The Economic Data Suggesting a Stock Market Rally
First, some personal recollections on Her Majesty the Queen In light of the sad news of the passing of Her Majesty the Queen, I hope my article on finance is seen as a distraction. I had the privilege of meeting their Majesties the Queen and the now King. For the Queen, it was about a […]
Is Now the Time to Buy the Market Bottom?
Inflation is slowing. Corporate and consumer spending is strong. Have we reached the bottom of the market, or is there more to fall? The S&P 500 hasn’t had an H1 this bad since the 1970s. But that represents an opportunity for investors: in the H2 of that same year, the market recovered and actually finished […]
Is This Stock Market Rally For Real?
Capping off a memorable July, American stocks recovered their footing. Alpesh Patel OBE asks if this rally is for real or if it’s a bear trap? The S&P gained 4.3%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 4.7%, and the Dow increased by about 3% in the final week of July. The S&P 500 increased by a total […]
Can We Get a Year-End Stock Rally?
This was one of the most often asked questions at my Great Investing and Trading Summer School (see pics) which I’ve just completed. So let me share the analysis with you. The S&P 500 has had its worst first-half performance since the 1970s. But can we get a year-end stock rally? What does the data […]
Is ESG Investing Good or Bad for Your Pocket?
Environmental, social and governance (ESG) investing is a strategy that bets on companies trying to make the world a better place. Alpesh asks is this just another high-minded idealist fad? Or does the global good make it worth the risk? Type ESG into Sharescope or SharePad’s ETF list and you’ll find around a hundred funds. I […]
From ideas to investments: Investing in local heroes
Richard makes the case for investing in local firms, helped by analysts from The Yorkshire Fund. As usual, SharePad can help. I am starting this article with a shout-out to the analysts of the Yorkshire Fund. You probably have not heard of the Yorkshire Fund. We cannot invest in it. It is a mini financial […]
When Return of Capital trumps Return on Capital
Jamie Ward returns with his last article for ShareScope to discuss risk and complacency in the market and suggests that the past few years might not be an adequate guide for the future. Markets always go up… Since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008, there has been a received wisdom to always ‘buy the […]
Roll-out, Roll-up and public market arbitrage | SBRY, PRZ, COST, DCC, MRL, BREE
Jamie Ward takes a detailed walk through two expansion strategies and outlines the types of company and sectors where investors are likely to find these strategies as well as highlighting how to spot companies using them well. Two common ways for profitable growth for many companies can be summarised as roll-out and roll-up. Roll-out is […]
Is this a stock market crash? A look at the indices
It’s always worth keeping an eye on the indices. They are the bellwether for the markets – whenever the Dow plunges or hits new highs then we always hear about it. However, there is also a disconnect between the indices and the overall market. One thing that I found a few weeks ago is that […]
Happy New Year
Richard slims down his flabby SharePad setup to start the year with a lean, clean investing machine. He sets out his goals for 2022 and says thank you to Phil Oakley, who hung up his boots in December. It is that time of year when many of us eat and drink too much and then […]
A guide to selling Puts: Shares on sale
A couple of months ago I wrote an article extolling the virtues of selling Covered Calls on FTSE 100 stocks. The technique involves selling Call options on shares you already own to bring in additional income. When you combine the technique with a portfolio of dividend-yielding shares, you can create a veritable income machine. However, […]
Winners in an uncertain world | Vertical integration
In the chaotic business conditions we are experiencing, self-reliance has been a source of competitive advantage. Since we do not ever know what the future will hold, Richard goes in search of companies that have an element of vertical integration. I hope it is not smugness, but I have felt a sense of satisfaction when […]
The Trader: 3 principles for trading on the stock market
Breakouts are an excellent way to swing trade and profit from bull markets. I love breakouts because they’re a high probability pattern of continuation and also because it means that the price is rising. However, many people try strategies that that are inherently risky. Sadly, one private investor commented that they’d invested into a stock […]
Trading with Golden Crosses: Easy win or easy loss?
I should start by saying that I am no technical analysis whiz, and this article will likely bore those with an encyclopaedic knowledge of buy/sell signals and chart shapes (cup and handle, anyone?). I got into investing after I started working at ShareScope, and I desperately wanted it to be easy. Technical analysis seemed like […]
Financials, filters and FOMO | Using SharePad to find opportunities
Filters are one of the most powerful tools in SharePad, but Richard has been experimenting with another way to discover investment ideas and increase his “market intimacy”. Traders, of course, have price charts to guide them. Many investors focus on financials, and use filters to find new shares with attractive financial characteristics. Being a buy-and-hold […]
Step-by-step guide to Covered Calls | How to 3x increase dividend yield
Greg Robinson from Fire Revolution spells out how you can double or even treble increase dividend yield with covered calls.
Tech Stocks or Banks for Better Returns?
Will tech stocks still provide reasonable returns for the rest of the year? Or are bank stocks a better bet?
Screening For My Next Long-Term Winner: Venture Life
I like companies that boast significant net cash. I therefore apply certain filter criteria to identify some reasonable cash-flush businesses.
Why Chasing Dividends in Stock Investments is a Bad Idea
What defines a worthy stock for investment or retirement income? Unfortunately, for many investors, the answer is a stock that pays dividends. While dividends are a factor (among many) that can be used to judge a stock, it isn’t necessarily the most important or profitable determination to make when investing.
Good strategy/Bad strategy
A company’s strategy should not just tell us what it wants to achieve, but why and how. Richard introduces a simple framework for analysing strategy and highlights a good strategy, and one that is more difficult to fathom.
Shares to help you sleep at night
I am probably jinxing it now, but owning shares in Howden Joinery has never lost me sleep. Despite the pandemic and a fall in profit, this year’s annual report has the same calming effect it does every year, and not just because of the pictures. Howdens explains the business very well, and quietly delivers on the promise.
Alpesh Patel on US Investing: Should We Buy Any Stock Market Dips?
As the Dow Jones Index took a tumble at the end of February, many analysts saw this as the beginning of a long-overdue market correction. Some have floated talk of a stock market bubble for a while, but despite the challenging conditions of the last year, the market rebounded and finished out the year strongly. However, the dip on the 24th of February — which saw the index shed 1000 points — has led some traders to talk of an opportunity to cash in on the slide.
Lessons from the Trend (Part 2): Moving Averages
In this article I will continue focusing on primary and secondary trends but this time I will use moving averages to define market phases. You can also view Part 1 of this article Lessons from the Trend (Part 1): Breakouts for more primary trend details that relate to what we are talking about here. For […]
Why shorting is good for investors
Although I am much more of a trader myself as I rely on trading profits to pay my bills, I do think investors have much to be gained learning from the art of short selling stocks. There are several reasons that will be explained in this article, but first it is important to understand what […]
Fishing like Fundsmith
Richard builds a Fundsmith filter, taking it from concept to conclusion. The aim: To reduce the “junk” in our watchlists so we are fishing in a better-stocked pool of shares. My editor wonders whether my obsession with Fundsmith Equity Fund is a ‘fatal attraction’ but he has permitted one more article. It would be remiss […]
Putting performance into perspective
Richard reads Fundsmith Equity Fund’s annual letter to fundholders and suggests a modest improvement that could change your perception of financial history. He also responds to reader’s queries about On The Beach, the company he profiled two weeks ago. If you are a fundholder in Fundsmith Equity Fund, then congratulations. You’ve just received fund manager […]
Screening For My Next Long-Term Winner: Games Workshop
Could now be the time to return to dynamic growth shares? Wonder-stocks such as Fever-Tree, Boohoo.com and Keywords Studios are all well below their highs of 2018… …and I wonder whether the widespread selling has created a super-growth bargain somewhere in the market! Let’s employ SharePad to find out. I bought the shares at £8 […]
Starting with the big picture
Richard starts his analysis of fast growing online beach holiday retailer On The Beach with new SharePad views designed to give him the big picture at a glance. Before I start dreaming about holidays, some humble pie. A few weeks ago I ridiculed the idea of using more than three SharePad windows by suggesting they […]
Magic Formula stocks for 2019 & 2018 performance
Back in 2016 we began testing and tracking three model portfolios based on Joel Greenblatt’s magic formula approach (click here to read more about this) and last year we added a forth model (click here to read this article). Regular readers will know how these portfolios are put together. Here’s a quick recap for the […]
Assessing whether profit is real
On the face of it Ricardo is a great company, but in recent years its earnings have deviated a long way from the cold hard cash that has flowed into the company. That may be changing. Though I don’t normally pay much attention to share prices, a 40% slump in the price of Ricardo values […]
How I build and manage my share portfolio
The key thing to stress at the beginning and, as many of you will already be well aware, there are many ways to become a good investor. There are many different techniques, many different styles and strategies from fundamental analysis, technical analysis to even astrology and Biorhythms. It sounds like a cliché but the best […]
A Special SharePad Investigation: Patisserie Valerie
Before I go any further, let me just state that I am not here to say “I told you so”. But whenever I have lost money on a share, I have always found going back to see where I went wrong to be very instructive. In fact, trying to spot the warning signs from any […]
Searching SharePad for something special
Richard Beddard investigates DotDigital in SharePad. The data indicates it has been very prosperous since it floated on the London Stock Exchange in 2011. A surge in investment suggests it intends to keep things that way. The starting point for many of the ideas I discover in SharePad is a basic four stage process that […]
Hunting in a sea of pessimism
Buying shares that are out of favour is a favourite strategy amongst contrarian value investors. However, in recent times it is not one that has worked particularly well. In fact, much more success seems to have been had with momentum strategies. These involve buying shares that are very popular and, in many cases, have been […]
Magic Formula stocks for 2018
For those of you who like the idea of a buy and forget investing strategy then Joel Greenblatt’s Magic Formula of buying good companies at fair prices takes a lot of beating in my view. It is a simple and powerful way to put together a portfolio and one that has a pretty good long-term […]
Simple is best – Magic Formula Investing in 2017
If you were to ask me to recommend just one book on investing then I would struggle to think of anything better than Joel Greenblatt’s book ‘The Little Book that beats the Market’. It is very easy to read and is not very long. The book does a great job in convincing the reader that […]
A blueprint for better long term investing
Holidays are great for switching off from the stresses and strains of the daily grind and concentrating on what’s really important in life. I’ve just had three weeks away from work – I can’t remember the last time I did that – spending time relaxing with my family and doing jobs around the house that […]
Shares to hold to the grave, and beyond…
For my debut SharePad article, I’ve been invited to introduce my stockpicking strategy. It’s a daunting prospect because strategy is everything. Without a strategy, luck or instinct will determine our returns and in the stock market neither can be relied on. There are many reinforcing activities that make a good strategy, so please forgive the […]
UK Dividend aristocrats
Phil’s Investors Chronicle article on how to be a successful dividend investor. Read the article
Value investing today
One of the great things about investing is that there are lots of different ways for people to try and make money. This means that there is a style out there that will suit most temperaments. Probably the most well known investing strategy is value investing. Yet I find that this term is frequently overused […]