Bruce Packard

Financial Analyst, former management consultant, equity research analyst Bruce Packard started his career at Credit Suisse followed by various banks and stockbroking firms before quitting The City to work in financial PR, Litigation finance and finally financial education. In 2008 he predicted the nationalisation of the UK banking industry.

I’m a self-invested, low frequency, buy and hold investor focused on quality. As well as writing for ShareScope I like to capture my financial analysis and non-conformist thoughts on my own blog brucepackard.comI also used to own a craft beer bar in Berlin and for fun play beach volleyball (unlikely to turn professional though). 

Weekly Commentary 24/01/22: Market wobbly

Bruce looks at Terry Smith’s investor letter, admires his simple process. SharePad is also great research tool for assessing funds like Fundsmith, not just individual companies. Plus 3 companies that reported last week. The FTSE 100 was 7,521, down -0.3% last week. The US markets have sold off much harder last week, with the S&P500

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Weekly Commentary 17/01/22: When you’re underwater…

Bruce looks at risk management, and how to react to the discomfort of your positions being underwater. Plus 3 stocks that updated on progress last week: Equals, Franchise Brands and Frenkel Topping. The FTSE 100 was up +1% to 7554, driven by banks and oil companies which have enjoyed a strong start to 2022 (BP

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Weekly Commentary 10/01/21: What’s new in 2022?

Bruce looks at how 3 ideas he crowded sourced from readers did in 2021, and asks for suggestions for 2022.  Plus 4 companies that have been busy with corporate activity (acquisitions, approaches, disposals).    The FTSE 100 was up +1% in the first week of 2022 at 7,450. Markets in the US were less positive

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Weekly Commentary 29/12/21: Performance and distributions

Bruce assess his performance for 2021, and notes that he would have been better off doing nothing. He also looks at the skewed return distribution of returns of AIM shares, plus 2 companies that reported positive news last week. The FTSE 100 reached 7,400 on Christmas Eve, up +14% this year, versus the AIM All

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Weekly Commentary 20/12/21: Unexpected returns

Bruce looks at long run UK equity index returns over the decades. Index returns have been unexciting recently, but the top performing UK companies have still achieved 35-45% CAGR in the last 10 years. You just need to know what to look for. The FTSE 100 was 7,280 down less than -0.2% versus last week.

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Weekly Commentary 13/12/21: Epicycles and shared illusion

The FTSE 100 was up +2.7% to 7,321, recovering last week as early news out of South Africa suggested that fewer patients with the new variant were on ventilators. Both the Nasdaq100 and S&P500 were up +2.8%. The US 10y Govt bond yield rose from 1.35% to 1.52% (ie Government bonds sold off as financial

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Weekly Commentary 06/12/21: Wealth vs investment

The FTSE 100 was resilient, recovering to 7,157 on Friday up +1.6% for the week. The S&P500 and Nasdaq100 were both down less than 0.5%. Interestingly though bond yields have reacted more cautiously to reports of the new variant, with US treasuries now yielding 1.43% a 24bp point fall versus the last week of November

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Weekly Commentary 29/11/21: Turkey before Christmas?

Markets sold off sharply towards the end of last week, with the FTSE down almost 3% to 7,106. IAG (the old British Airways) and Rolls Royce were both off c. 10% last Friday. Novacyt was up +27% last week, after the company said its genesig® COVID-19 Real-Time PCR tests have been approved in the UK

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Weekly Commentary 22/11/21: Indexing Regret

The FTSE 100 fell in the second half of last week, but at 7,202 still remains around the top of its previous May-Oct trading range. The Nasdaq was up +1.75% and the S&P +0.5%. Brent Crude fell back below $80 per barrel, suggesting that tensions between the EU and Belorussia are not having a wider

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Weekly Commentary 15/11/21: Gold fails to glister

The FTSE 100 rose +0.8% towards 7,400 before dipping back slightly on Friday to 7,353. That was a better week compared to the Nasdaq 100 and S&P500, down -2% and -1% respectively. However, the FTSE outperformance has mostly been driven by a weak pound, which fell to 1.34 to the dollar, as currency markets reacted

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Weekly Commentary 8/11/21: Meme stocks as protest

The FTSE 100 hit a high for 2021 at 7,314. The S&P500 also continued to trend upwards, hitting a new high of 4,680 and now up +25% since the start of the year. In contrast, the FTSE China 50 Index is down -16% since the start of the year. The US bond yield was at

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Weekly Commentary 1/11/21: The shopping trolley problem

The FTSE 100 was flat last week, drifting around 7,226. Nasdaq and the S&P500 did better, up +2.8% and +1.1% respectively, following strong results from Google and Microsoft. Apple and Amazon signalled that disruption and costs from supplying customers with physical products were rising. Facebook became Meta. Name changes should not affect share prices, but

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